Adjusting Benjamin Graham's Price Calculations Today

Summarized from the discussion here:

The user in that discussion makes a very valid point that Graham recommended a P/E ratio no higher than 13.3 against an AA bond yield of 7.5%. Based on that principle, a defensive investor today should consider stocks with P/E < 37.17 since 10-year AA corporate bond yields as of 03/23/2015 are 2.69%.

Defensive stock screening for P/E ratios of 37 (all else being equal) on Serenity would involve the following:
37÷15 = 2.467
√2.467 = 1.57

We would need to multiply the Graham Number of a stock by 1.57 to adjust it to a maximum PE of 37.

Serenity's default Graham analyses and the Classic Graham Screener use Graham's recommended numbers for the analysis. But the Advanced Graham Screener can be used to screen stocks meeting the adjusted figures.

As an example, the filter values for finding Defensive quality stocks adjusted to a P/E of 37 would be:

Qualitative Result: Defensive
Quantitative Result % >: 64%

64% is used for the Quantitative Result because the reciprocal of 1.57 is 0.6367, or 63.67%.
For Defensive quality stocks, the Quantitative Result = GN÷PC.

Prices for Enterprising and NCAV quality stocks can be adjusted similarly as well.

Comments

After all that,how we calculate the Graham number now a days? Can you full explain it with real numbers?

Serenity's picture

Dear Vic Mac,

Please see the tutorial section on Graham Numbers for a detailed explanation.

Hope this answers your question.
Thank you for being on Serenity!

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